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Indonesia end-April forex reserves up $1.7 bln at $138.8 bln

 

Indonesia’s foreign exchange reserves increased by $1.7 billion in April, central bank data showed on Friday, amid capital inflows back into emerging markets.

The end-April reserve level of $138.8 billion matched February’s level, which was the highest on record. It could cover the cost of 10 months of imports, Bank Indonesia said in a statement, adding that reserves were also influenced by tax revenues and foreign debt levels.

During April, the rupiah gained 0.6% against the dollar and continued strengthening this month.

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Amid Dogecoin Hype, Elon Musk Warns On Investing With ‘Caution’ In Cryptocurrencies

Tesla Inc CEO Elon Musk urged investors to exercise caution when it comes to investing in cryptocurrencies in a late-night social media post on Friday.

In the video, Musk can be heard answering a question as to whether Dogecoin (DOGE) can become the next currency for the world. He said at the time, “I think it should be the will of the people.”

“People should not invest their life savings in cryptocurrency,” said Musk. “It should be considered a speculation at this point and so don’t go too far on the crypto speculation part.”

On the Shiba Inu-themed cryptocurrency, he said, “Dogecoin was invented as a joke as essentially to make fun of cryptocurrency and that’s why I think there’s an argument like fate loves irony.”

“What would be the most ironic outcome? That the currency that was invented as a joke in fact becomes the real currency,” said Musk.

Musk’s support of DOGE was noted by Galaxy Digital Research in a recent report titled “Dogecoin: The Most Honest Sh*tcoin,” which cited “remarkably strong fundamentals” and the support of powerful forces as factors that work in favor of the meme coin.

Musk’s frequent tweets on DOGE have at times led to the price of the cryptocurrency appreciating, but at times that has failed as well.

His scheduled appearance on SNL set the stage for the latest rally, but there is a chance that profit booking might come in the way of the cryptocurrency “reaching the moon.”

Even so, DOGE has rallied 12,103.39% since the year began beating the 92.53% returns of BTC in the same period.

At press time, DOGE traded nearly 3% higher at $0.60, while BTC was down 1.11% at $56,126.22.

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Tycoon Salim intensifies Indonesia data center battle

JAKARTA — Anthoni Salim, CEO of Indonesian conglomerate Salim Group, has raised his stake in Data Center Indonesia by an additional 1.02 trillion rupiah ($71 million) as competition heats up in the country’s cloud space on the heels of recent announcements by Tencent and Microsoft.

With the increased personal stake, Salim now directly controls 11.12% of shares in the local cloud services operator, up from 3.03% before the transaction, DCI said in a filing to the Indonesia Stock Exchange on Thursday. The company’s share price rose 20% to 19,800 rupiah in same-day trading following the announcement, and jumped another 20% on Friday to close at 23,750 rupiah.

Last week, DCI inaugurated its fourth data center facility in Bekasi, an industrial town east of Jakarta, increasing total capacity to 37 megawatts. The company said it has enlisted three “top global cloud service providers” and the seven “biggest e-commerce platforms in Indonesia [and] Southeast Asia” among its clients, as well as more than 100 financial services providers and 30 telecommunications companies.

DCI, which opened its first data center in 2013, said it aims to build as many as 15 such facilities in Southeast Asia’s largest economy with a total power capacity of 200 MW.

Indonesia, a vibrant democracy, is one of the hottest battlegrounds for cloud services in Asia, pushing up demand for local data centers owing to its expanding digital economy supported by the world’s fourth-largest population and internet-savvy youth demographic, as well as local laws regarding data storage. Online services such as e-commerce, video conferencing, streaming and gaming have enjoyed an additional boost during the coronavirus pandemic.

A report released in January by Google, Temasek and Bain & Company projected that Indonesia’s internet economy grew 11% to $44 billion last year and will further expand 23% annually to reach $124 billion in 2025.

Salim’s move follows Chinese internet conglomerate Tencent Holdings’ announcement in April of a plan to open two data centers in Indonesia by the end of the year. Earlier in February, U.S. tech giant Microsoft reiterated its plan to establish its first data center in the country.

Chinese internet giant Alibaba, through its cloud arm Alibaba Cloud, currently runs two data centers in Indonesia and said it was planning to launch a third this year. Amazon, through Amazon Web Services, also has mentioned a plan to build a data center, while Google last year localized its cloud services for Indonesian clients by partnering with local data center operators after previously using overseas centers.

DCI, founded and led by Otto Toto Sugiri, a former IT manager at a local bank, has seen its business grow sharply during the COVID crisis. It posted 55% revenue growth to 759.4 billion rupiah last year, while net profit surged 71% to 183 billion rupiah. In the first three months of this year, revenue and net profit rose 25% and 55%, respectively, to 171.5 billion rupiah and 48 billion rupiah.

The company’s share price has multiplied 45 times since going public in January.

DCI said in its annual 2020 report released last month that Indonesia’s internet users grew from 92 million in 2015 to 152 million in 2019 — or nearly 60% of the population. The Google and Temasek study, meanwhile, said 37% of all digital service consumers in Indonesia last year were new.

“Despite the rapid growth of the population adopting Internet services and the growth of the digital economy, the capacity per capita of local data centers remain low,” DCI said in the report. “Thus, the demand for high quality data center services with international standards have increased.”

The company also said Indonesia’s market for “co-location data centers” — in which the facilities are available for rent to retail customers — had a total capacity of 72.5 megawatts at the end of last year, half of which was controlled by DCI. It projected that capacity to grow 22.3% annually over the next five years.

Heru Sutadi, executive director of Jakarta-based information and communication technology-focused think tank ICT Institute, said that besides the booming digital economy, a government regulation requiring local data storage has also enticed internet giants to set up in Indonesia.

“[Storing data locally] is mandatory for public entities. There are some exceptions for the private sector, but only if a [government-appointed] committee decides that some technologies required for their data centers are not available here,” Sutadi told Nikkei Asia on Friday.

“Google and Facebook are building international fiber optic networks that transit Indonesia, so Indonesia also has a strategic position … we hope it can become a digital hub for Southeast Asia,” he added.

Salim’s increased stake in DCI marks a deeper foray by the Salim Group — best known for its instant noodle producing unit Indofood — into the burgeoning digital economy. He also personally owns a stake in Indonesian multimedia company Elang Mahkota Teknologi, which has invested in local e-commerce unicorn Bukalapak and digital wallet Dana.

His son, Axton Salim, is involved in startup incubator Block 71, which has offices in Jakarta and Singapore, and also in local e-sport development.

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Dogecoin has hit an all-time high because of Elon Musk and ‘SNL’

Elon Musk may be bringing the laughs on “Saturday Night Live” this week, and Dogecoin investors will be laughing their way to the bank because of it.

Dogecoin recently hit an all-time high, reaching a value of $0.45 on Monday. This happened days before Tesla CEO Elon Musk will make his appearance on “Saturday Night Live,” according to Benzinga.

And many are expecting Musk to talk about Dogecoin on the show, which would drum up interest and queries about the cryptocurrency and raise its value.

Musk said on Twitter that “the DOGEFATHER” would “definitely” appear on “Saturday Night Live.” This is a direct reference to his nickname, which is a play on the “Godfather.”

Dogecoin rises in value due to Elon Musk
Musk has tweeted about Dogecoin in the past, which has made its value skyrocket among social media and investors, as I wrote for the Deseret News. Musk’s tweets have drawn a lot of attention to the cryptocurrency, which encourages more people to invest, which then ups its value.

But Carol Alexander, a finance professor at the University of Sussex Business School in England, told Yahoo! Finance that Dogecoin should try to return to its roots, which included people using the money to fund charitable donations.

“If he (Musk) wants Dogecoin to have any fundamental economic value, he needs to direct it back towards its benevolent grass roots,” she said, according to Yahoo! Finance.

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A Gojek-Tokopedia merger has ramifications for regional unicorns including Grab and Sea

At first blush, a merger between Gojek and Tokopedia appears sensible but a closer look suggests huge challenges, says lawyers Joel Shen and Gabriel Li.

One of Jakarta’s best kept secrets is that it hosts the largest Jazz festival in the Southern Hemisphere.

I recall, with fondness, attending Java Jazz in the late noughties, on my regular work commutes to Indonesia as a young solicitor. 

Back then, prized festival tickets were bought over-the-counter at tour agencies, who only accepted cash payments – foreign credit cards were regarded by counter staff with deep suspicion.

On my way to the festival, I would negotiate the city’s notorious traffic jams in a hired car I had booked through the hotel. 

At the festival grounds, the only lunch and dinner options were Indonesian street food offered by the hawkers that congregated outside – my favourite being the very tasty but less than healthy chicken noodles or “mie ayam” sold by an elderly hawker from a blue kaki lima (push cart).

Things have changed significantly in the last decade. Today, I buy my Java Jazz tickets online, via an e-commerce marketplace like Tokopedia or ticketing platform Go-Tix, and pay for my purchase using a digital wallet like Ovo. Advertisementhttps://1efc0b7d3f2bca1bc101ccfb51133f9f.safeframe.googlesyndication.com/safeframe/1-0-38/html/container.html

I travel to the festival using a ride-hailing app like Grab or Gojek, both of which also offer online food delivery services that will convey comestibles to concert-goers from the farthest reaches of Greater Jakarta.

All this is made possible by the rise of digitally-enabled businesses. Indonesia’s digital economy, valued at just US$8 billion in 2015 had quintupled to US$44 billion in 2020. 

It is expected to triple again to US$124 billion by 2025 according  to the 2020 South-east Asia e-Conomy report by Google, Temasek and Bain & Co.

The meteoric growth of Indonesia’s digital economy has also given rise to its first crop of technology unicorns – household names such as Gojek, Tokopedia, Ovo, Traveloka and Bukalapak; founded by a generation of Indonesian technopreneurs who themselves are champions for the country’s digital transformation, and poster boys for the new economy.

GRAB-AND-GO

As these tech unicorns mature, they begin to assiduously pursue strategic partnerships, mergers and consolidations, in a bid to deliver lucrative exits for their founders and investors.

For most of 2020, speculation was rife as to whether a merger between aspiring super-app operators Grab and Gojek, regarded by many as the most intuitive match between Southeast Asia’s tech darlings and cleverly labelled the Grab-and-Go merger, would materialise.

Observers cited deal economics, regulatory challenges, strategic differences – whether Grab and Gojek should merge in Indonesia only or across all Southeast Asian markets – and egos in the boardroom as key impediments to the merger.

The potential antitrust ramifications of a Grab-and-Go merger prompted statements from regional competition watchdogs that they were keeping a close eye on merger discussions, and the fear of massive job losses that may result from a Grab-and-Go merger, also drove Indonesian motorcycle driver unions to threaten country-wide protests.

When news finally broke, just two weeks ago, that Grab-and-Go had abandoned their merger plans, the industry’s attention shifted to the parallel merger discussion between Indonesian powerhouses Gojek and Tokopedia (G&T).

PARTNERS MADE IN TECH HEAVEN

At first blush, a G&T merger appears to make a lot of sense. 

The merged entity would be worth an estimated US$18 billion, and create the most complete technology ecosystem in Indonesia, a super-app operating on a scale hitherto undreamt of, even by the ambitious Grab. 

Such an entity would be able to expand its market share and pursue profitability by offering complementary services within a single ecosystem. Visitors to Java Jazz may finally be able to have all their needs met on one platform.

G&T would have the critical mass necessary to quickly access public markets, and sustain the expensive subsidies that it has had to offer in its customer acquisition strategy, while its unlisted competitors continue to rely heavily on external funding.

The natural synergies between G&T would also allow the technology giants to cross-sell into each other’s respective pools of customers and increase user stickiness. 

Imagine Tokopedia’s e-commerce business working with Gojek’s last-mile delivery solutions, or Tokopedia’s “buy-now-pay-later” schemes integrated with the services of Go-Pay and Gojek affiliate Bank Jago. 

Finally, with the notable exception of digital payments, Gojek and Tokopedia operate in different verticals, which means that a G&T merger would be less objectionable from an antitrust standpoint, and attract less opposition from regulators, consumers and private hire drivers than would a Grab-and-Go merger.

CHALLENGES DO REMAIN

Upon closer scrutiny, however, the challenges of a G&T merger become apparent. G&T would run the risk of spreading themselves too thin across too many battle fronts, and would have to compete with well-funded rivals across almost all their key verticals.

G&T are also dyed-in-the-wool Indonesian companies, with either no ambition to expand beyond Indonesia, as is the case with Tokopedia, or an inconsistent overseas track record, as is the case with Gojek. 

In order for the merger to succeed, G&T would also have to develop and implement a cohesive regionalisation strategy, but may have difficulty convincing international investors that they would be able to successfully execute such a strategy.

Finally, notwithstanding the fact that Gojek and Tokopedia predominantly operate in different sectors, there is one important vertical in which they currently compete – digital payments. 

Gojek and Tokopedia respectively control Go-Pay and Ovo, two of Indonesia’s largest e-wallets. This sets the stage for what might possibly be the most exciting battle in the unfolding Grab-Gojek-Tokopedia love triangle.

SOMEONE TO WATCH OVO ME

Perhaps the single greatest impediment to a G&T merger is the Indonesian central bank‘s (Bank Indonesia) “single presence policy” that prohibits a party from owning a controlling interest in more than one licensed e-money issuer such as Ovo and Go-Pay.

This would mean that G&T would not be able to merge their respective digital payment units, without a specific waiver from Bank Indonesia (BI).

This is not to say that such a waiver would be beyond the reach of G&T. Gojek and Tokopedia are funded by influential backers, who have access to the highest levels of government in Indonesia – including Gojek founder Nadiem Makarim, who is the youngest Minister of Education in Indonesia’s history. 

It is therefore not inconceivable that BI might be persuaded to allow a merger between Ovo and Go-Pay, or at least permit a merged G&T to continue holding controlling interests in both payments companies, especially in the interest of creating a homegrown technology major.

What happens, however, if BI does not approve the merger? Some say that Tokopedia will sell its stake in Ovo. Should this happen, it is likely that Grab, whose financial unit recently raised US$300 million, and who will likely have a right of first refusal on the proposed sale, will make a bid for Tokopedia’s stake in the payments company.

Such a move will, at least in theory, allow Grab to further entrench itself in the lucrative payments space in Indonesia. 

This amid rumours of a possible merger between Ovo and Ant Group-backed e-wallet Dana, and barely three months after Grab invested in Indonesian state-owned e-wallet operator LinkAja. Such a move will also narrow the gap between Grab’s payments business and Gojek’s.

BETWEEN THE DEVIL AND THE DEEP BLUE SEA

In his 1946 standard The Best Man, the inimitable Nat King Cole sings of how a talented and eligible suitor lost the girl of his dreams when he was blindsided by a rival whom he considered inferior.

By the same token, keen observers of the evolving romance between Grab, Gojek and Tokopedia over the years might have been surprised when Tokopedia, the erstwhile undisputed king of the Indonesian e-commerce sector, was recently dethroned by Sea, a quiet game developer whose market capitalisation on Nasdaq quintupled to US$140 billion during the pandemic.

To add insult to injury, Sea’s digital payments arm ShopeePay has risen through the ranks to become one of the leading e-wallet operators in Indonesia today.

For all the talk of the drama of a Grab-and-Go breakup, or a G&T merger, the enemy isn’t Grab, Gojek, or Tokopedia – the enemy is Sea. A G&T merger, if done right, would build a compelling narrative: Two household names joining forces to form Indonesiaʼs first Big Tech company.

Will G&T prove to be a worthy adversary against the mighty Sea? It remains to be seen. Sea has a large war chest, having raised more than US$6 billion last year, and the distinct advantage of a profitable gaming business.

G&T on the other hand, operate in notoriously unprofitable verticals and have yet to articulate a growth strategy beyond Indonesia. But never  underestimate Indonesian businesses which have demonstrated, time and again, their tremendous tenacity, adaptability, and capacity for innovation.

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

Recent reports are that G&T might be close to finalising the terms of their merger, and that the ink may be drying on the merger agreements by the end of the month, subject only to approval by BI and competition regulators.

This will be followed by a complex integration process and the long road to an IPO.

Where will G&T list? The smart money is that they will pursue a dual-listing on Nasdaq and the Indonesian Stock Exchange, driven by tax considerations, and a desire to capitalise on nationalistic sentiments of patriotic retail investors at home.

An international listing will also demonstrate that Southeast Asia is not a one-hit wonder, and pave the way for other exits across the region.